Skip to main content

Reforms will happen but not as fast! Not likely to be as big-bang in nature as projected in the media

We will take the reforms agenda forward, but not at the cost of development and not at the cost of state firms." This statement by one of the leaders of the Congress party and published in a leading daily highlights the importance of tempering one's optimism over the re-election of the UPA government. Let us not forget that this is the same party that came out with social schemes like the farm loan waiver and the rural employment schemes. Hence, to expect a reforms overdrive from the new government will be akin to asking for a little too much. Of course, the scenario is a lot better this time around as there are no left parties to take two steps backwards for every one step that the UPA government will take forward, but the fact remains that a move towards more reforms is likely to progress at a slow pace at best. Furthermore, unlike 1990-91, where problems were India specific, a synchronized slowdown has engulfed the world and this will give the government more leeway to implement their plans. In a nut shell, reforms will happen but not as fast and they are not likely to be as big-bang in nature as is being expected in certain quarters

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Mountains of food stock goes waste : Another instance of government inefficiency!

Look at government inefficiency, food prices have galloped at an alarming rate over the last few months. Some blame it on the poor monsoons. Some blame it on hoarding by greedy middlemen. In my opinion, the government unknowingly itself is a massive hoarder. As per a report in a financial daily, the stock of rice and wheat in government granaries is way above the minimum requirement. Sadly, much of this excess stock is stored in the open. It either rots or feeds pests. In my view, this is a national shame. We cannot get the basics right in such a crucial area when food prices are spiraling out of control and millions of Indians still go hungry. Such stocks should be stored properly and released in small lots to stabilise prices.

Biyani looks at the bigger picture

It is important to look at the holistic picture and have an individual opinion rather than get swayed away by the public consensus. This is the view of the man who pioneered the retailing boom in India - Mr. Kishore Biyani, the founder of India’s largest retailing company - Pantaloon. In an article in the Wall street Journal, Mr. Biyani wrote, "Almost daily doses of bad news on television screens and newspapers have possibly done as much damage to the economy as the events on either side of the Atlantic." I completely agree with him. Mr. Biyani’s predicament is based on the fact that an overwhelming majority of Indian consumers are self-employed, who can neither get laid off nor can have pay cuts. Consider some statistics he has provided. The share of the national income represented by proprietor-run concerns and partnerships is 35%. The share of companies is around 15%, government around 25%, and agriculture around 25%. Combine agriculture and the self-employed in industry a...

Infosys kick started the March quarter and full year FY09 result season today on a mixed note

Infosys kick started the March quarter and full year FY09 result season today on a mixed note. Although its fourth quarter operating performance did not have much to be enthused about, the company managed to add 37 new clients and 1,772 employees (net) during this quarter. This goes to show the consistency in the company’s long term business prospects. While the full year profits grew by a healthy 29% YoY, the company announced an earnings guidance for FY10 that would be lower by 3% to 7% YoY as compared to FY09 EPS.